KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93%
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
72,4 €
Liquidité
25,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.0% / 7.1%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
18 janv. 25, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court overturn Griggs v. Duke Power Co.?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran legalize gay marriage?
PolymarketWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiHow many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
KalshiRègles
If the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v.
Règlement via:Supreme Court
- Hodges after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obergefell v.
- Hodges will be considered “overturned” if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that the Constitution of the United States does not guarantee the right to marriage to same-sex couples.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v.