Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
One-OffPolitique américainePolitiqueSociété et culture2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96.8%
Non 96.8%Prévisionnistes
67
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard5 déc. 24, 16:35 UTC23 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Settles Yes if gay marriage is illegal on the federal level on the day prior to the last day Trump is president.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market resolves to Yes if there is a federal law explicitly prohibiting gay marriage, even if individual states have laws permitting it (similar to the current federal/state dynamic with marijuana).