Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiqueÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95.2%
Prévisionnistes
60
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète7 nov. 24, 23:10 UTC2 févr. 29, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Background: The 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution has historically been interpreted to grant citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil, regardless of their parents' citizenship status (with exceptions for children of foreign diplomats).
- However, there have been political calls to end or modify birthright citizenship.
- This question will resolve based on whether the Trump administration enacts policies or laws that result in at least one individual born in the U.S., who would traditionally have been recognized as a citizen under the 14th Amendment, being denied citizenship or having their citizenship rescinded.
- Question: Will at least one person born on U.S. soil during Donald Trump’s second term be denied U.S. citizenship (or have their citizenship rescinded) due to a change in the interpretation or application of the 14th Amendment by the U.S. government?
- Resolution Criteria:
- Yes: This question will resolve as "Yes" if:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term? doit être résolu le 2 février 2029.
- Comment Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Background: The 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution has historically been interpreted to grant citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil, regardless of their parents' citizenship status (with exceptions for children of foreign diplomats).