Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète27 août 23, 17:42 UTC31 déc. 49, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
Manifold MarketsWill Recep Tayyip Erdogan stop being the leader of Turkey before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?
Manifold MarketsSCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?
PolymarketWill Recep Tayyip Erdogan stop being the leader of Turkey before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
- [image]see also: @/CodeandSolder/will-birthright-citizenship-stop-be @/CodeandSolder/will-birthright-citizenship-stop-be-bdf25ebad2e6
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
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- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2050? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2049.
- Comment Will birthright citizenship stop being available in the USA before 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.