Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.1%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
26 nov. 24, 05:33 UTC21 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiWill birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsCanada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolves when Trump leaves office or Kim Jong Un sets foot in America, whichever comes first.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 714,8 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 295,4 k €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves when Trump leaves office or Kim Jong Un sets foot in America, whichever comes first.