Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.6%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète25 janv. 26, 20:06 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsWill the United States confiscate privately owned gold collections before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
LimitlessFed Decision in December?
PolymarketRègles
Germany holds the world’s second-largest national gold reserves after the United States, with approximately $194B worth — 1,236 metric tons—currently stored at the Federal Reserve in New York.
- Several German economists have deemed it risky to store so much gold in the US, given the current geopolitical situation, and advise to repatriate the gold.
- This market resolves based on the percentage of Germany's gold that is repatriated to Germany during Trump's second term.
- The market resolves YES if 100% of the gold is repatriated, NO if 0% is repatriated, and to the specific percentage for any amount between 0-100%.
