Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète3 sept. 23, 08:09 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
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PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
Will German far-right party AfD (Alternative for Deutschland) be banned by the German government? The party is 21% in opinion polls, and has been rising in popularity.
- Given, to put it lightly, the controversial history of far-right politics in Germany, will the government follow through on its alleged consideration of a ban.
- This question will close in 2030.
- https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/13/afd-party-ban-germany-far-right-extremists/#:~:text=Germany%20is%20debating%20whether%20to,members%20are%20becoming%20increasingly%20extreme.
- [link preview]
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
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- 123,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
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POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
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- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will German far-right party AfD (Alternative for Deutschland) be banned by the German government? The party is 21% in opinion polls, and has been rising in popularity.