Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitique8a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.4%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
4 févr. 25, 20:00 UTC1 janv. 35, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Market Rules & Resolution Criteria:
- YES Outcome: Resolves to Yes if any of the following occur:
- Trump is inaugurated as President of the United States for a term that begins after January 20, 2029,whether through an election, legal maneuvering, or any other means.
- Trump is an official candidate for U.S. President in an election held after November 2028, as evidenced by FEC filings, ballot access, or participation in official debates.
- Trump takes control of the U.S. government through extralegal means, including but not limited to:
- Declaring himself president without winning an election.