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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 19:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
2026 4%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
1 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Règles
If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- Each market's year is determined by the official polling day that actually occurs, not an announced or scheduled date that is later changed.
- If the official polling day for the next UK general election occurs in a year not listed, every market resolves NO.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2028 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2029 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In what year will the next UK general election be held? ?
- Kalshi cote 2026 à 4% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In what year will the next UK general election be held? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In what year will the next UK general election be held? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment In what year will the next UK general election be held? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.