KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Labour party 34.3%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
342,7 €
Liquidité
86,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
16 févr. 26, 15:00 UTC31 août 29, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill this party win the next UK general election? × Will the UK apply to join the EU in the five years after?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
If the the named outcome party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No. If the the named outcome receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 29,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 19,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 résultats de plus
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the next UK general election? ?
- Kalshi cote Labour party à 34% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the next UK general election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the next UK general election? doit être résolu le 31 août 2029.
- Comment Which party will win the next UK general election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the the named outcome party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Which party will win the next UK general election? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Gemini.