Probabilité implicite actuelle
Labour party 37%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
51,9 €
Liquidité
86,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.8% / 7.6%
Spread
5.8 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
16 févr. 26, 15:0031 août 29, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Restore Britain party2%
Comparer les plateformes· Labour party
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 37% | — | 51,9 € | 86,9 k € | il y a 14 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 43% | — | — | — | il y a 14 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2a
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire55 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$592 juil.25j de données28 juil.
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If the Your Party party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- If the Conservative party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Reform party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Liberal Democratic party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.