Prévision communautaire actuelle
Labour 43%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
55
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
5 mai 25, 0:182 janv. 29, 7:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Labour43%
Comparer les plateformes· Labour
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global85% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 37% | — | 66,8 € | 86,8 k € | il y a 28 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 43% | — | — | — | il y a 28 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
6.0 pts3a
37%
31%
20%
+5 résultats de plus
52 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total211,8 k €
Volume 24h66,8 €
KALSHIRègles
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$3508 juil.13j de données27 juil.
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Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.