Prévision communautaire actuelle
Labour 41.3%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
5 mai 25, 00:18 UTC2 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsParty of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
KalshiRègles
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 29,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 19,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 résultats de plus
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Labour à 41% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2029.
- Comment Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Où Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, Gemini.