How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection Europe2a

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibré

Probabilité implicite actuelle

1 0%

En tête parmi 6 options

Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

877,6 €

Faible liquidité

Achat / Vente

49.0% / 50.0%

Spread

2.0%

Spread serré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes

7 juil. 26, 18:458 janv. 29, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

52%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Tendance du volume

$1.0k

7 juil.2j de données8 juil.

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On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

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2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025: 100%

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SMARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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EthereumETH$1,801.16+3.47%

SolanaSOL$79.28+2.13%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0743+2.61%

XRPXRP$1.11+1.66%

BNBBNB$575.94+1.10%

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Règles

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection Europe2a

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibré

Probabilité implicite actuelle

1 0%

En tête parmi 6 options

Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

877,6 €

Faible liquidité

Achat / Vente

49.0% / 50.0%

Spread

2.0%

Spread serré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes

7 juil. 26, 18:458 janv. 29, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

52%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Tendance du volume

$1.0k

7 juil.2j de données8 juil.

Marchés Associés

Next French Presidential Election

696,3 k €

Marine Le Pen: 27%

POLYMARKET

Clacton by-election Winner

330,9 k €

Nigel Farage: 90%

POLYMARKET

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

42,7 k €

United Russia (ER): 55%

POLYMARKET

Will a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?

7,8 k €

Oui: 99%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

6,1 k €

2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Clacton By-Election - Winner

4,5 k €

Conservative: 0.37%

SMARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$64,419.32+2.65%

EthereumETH$1,801.16+3.47%

SolanaSOL$79.28+2.13%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0743+2.61%

XRPXRP$1.11+1.66%

BNBBNB$575.94+1.10%

Actualités Associées

EU parliament passes ‘chat control,’ allowing private chat scans until 2028Cointelegraph

Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph

Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block

Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News

Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News

Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk

Règles

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.