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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 22:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 5 4%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
297,7 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
7 juil. 26, 18:45 UTC8 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
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KalshiDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
KalshiRègles
If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Office of the Prime Minister of the UK
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
- If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
- If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
- Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
- If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 5 à 4% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? doit être résolu le 8 janvier 2029.
- Comment How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.