KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
1 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
1 51.5%En tête parmi 6 options
1 51.5%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
346 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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1Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
7 juil. 26, 18:45 UTC8 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 1
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsNarendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
KalshiWill Modi have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Office of the Prime Minister of the UK
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period. If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times). If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role. Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously. If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving. Vacancies do not count as individuals serving. Posthumous designations or honorary titles do not count.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 1
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is above 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
