KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Exactly 1 82.7%En tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
42.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
9 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC8 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWho will serve as a speaker of the House of Representatives before the end of the 122nd Congress?
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PolymarketMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the speaker of the house be ousted in the 119th congress
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:United States Congress
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
- If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
- If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
- Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
- If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+1.6pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.2pt92%
- Yes+3.2pt8%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt87.3%
- Republican Party12.8%
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.6pt16%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Exactly 1 à 83% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? doit être résolu le 8 janvier 2027.
- Comment How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.