KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
19 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.6% / 4.0%
Écart
2.4 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
24 nov. 25, 22:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson still Speaker of the House at the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiWill Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- An announcement that the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House will leave the position also resolves to Yes.
- If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House leaves office solely because they have passed away, that outcome does not resolve to Yes.