Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.1%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
27 oct. 25, 18:55 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Mike Johnson is removed from the position of Speaker of the House through a successful "motion to vacate" vote before January 1, 2027
- Mike Johnson resigns from the position of Speaker before January 1, 2027
- This market will resolve NO if:
- Mike Johnson remains Speaker through December 31, 2026
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria