Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète27 oct. 25, 18:55 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by which date?
PolymarketHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictItRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Mike Johnson is removed from the position of Speaker of the House through a successful "motion to vacate" vote before January 1, 2027
- Mike Johnson resigns from the position of Speaker before January 1, 2027
- This market will resolve NO if:
- Mike Johnson remains Speaker through December 31, 2026