Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection2a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 71%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 heures

Obsolète

10 juil. 24, 15:40 UTC4 juil. 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

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If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?

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In what year will the next UK general election be held?

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Règles

Update 2024-16-12 (PST): This market refers to Kemi Badenoch, who won the Conservative Party leadership election, and whether she will remain leader until the next general election.

(AI summary of creator comment)

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection2a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 71%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 heures

Obsolète

10 juil. 24, 15:40 UTC4 juil. 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?

Manifold Markets

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Manifold Markets

Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year

Manifold Markets

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

Kalshi

Ukraine election held by which date?

Polymarket

In what year will the next UK general election be held?

Kalshi

Règles

Update 2024-16-12 (PST): This market refers to Kemi Badenoch, who won the Conservative Party leadership election, and whether she will remain leader until the next general election.

(AI summary of creator comment)

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? ?: Manifold Markets cote Yes à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? doit être résolu le 4 juillet 2029.
Comment Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2024-16-12 (PST): This market refers to Kemi Badenoch, who won the Conservative Party leadership election, and whether she will remain leader until the next general election.

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

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