Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 78.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète13 mars 24, 13:20 UTC20 mars 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear.
- We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.
- Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier
- Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will not bet on this market
- If China is simultaneously working on both nuclear and non-nuclear carriers, the market resolves based on whichever carrier is the fourth to be commissioned
