Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?

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Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 58.9% au 19 octobre 2026.

Quand Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2032.

Comment Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-of-half-of-taiwan-by-2050/#comment-98618

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