Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 99%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète24 sept. 24, 20:38 UTC2 oct. 26, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
Manifold MarketsWill Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028?
Manifold MarketsCaroline Ellison next job
Manifold MarketsWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.
- House arrest, electronic confinement at a private home, would not.
- Let me know if you want me to outline edge cases before you trade.
- I might trade in this market, will probably be low-stakes.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? doit être résolu le 2 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.