FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 93%
Oui 93%Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
72,1 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
39
Commentaires
3
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump serve a full term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump serve a full second term (after winning in 2024)?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRègles
If the winning candidate of the 2024 presidential election in the United States of America serves the full regular 4-year term in office, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- The regular term of this president ranges from January 20, 2025, to January 20, 2029.
- Temporary leaves for health purposes or official appointments will not qualify as term interruptions.
- Only the definitive interruption of the term will be considered sufficient as a criterion to resolve this market to “No”.