KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 58%+7.0pt
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,5 €
Liquidité
8,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
52.0% / 58.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
17 juin 25, 20:45 UTC4 juin 29, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by which date?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PolymarketWill Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurWill the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serves their full term, which ends on Jun 4, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? doit être résolu le 4 juin 2029.
- Comment Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serves their full term, which ends on Jun 4, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.