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Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
12 févr. 25, 23:33 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?
Manifold MarketsWho will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRègles
Background Blue Origin plans to land its Blue Moon MK1 cargo lander on the moon in 2025, with a timeline of 12-16 months from early 2024.
- The mission will use Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket.
- The Blue Moon MK1 is designed to deliver up to 3 metric tons of cargo.
- SpaceX is scheduled to conduct an uncrewed Starship demo landing on the moon in 2025 as part of NASA's timeline.
- SpaceX's mission is more complex, requiring multiple tanker refuelings in orbit for its Starship HLS.
- Resolution Criteria This market resolves YES if Blue Origin successfully lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the lunar surface before SpaceX successfully lands an uncrewed Starship on the lunar surface.