Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.3%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 26, 04:10 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiBrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026
KalshiRègles
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, founded by Aurelia Song circa 2015.
- This market resolves YES iff, before 2041, Aurelia Song leaves the company for any reasons other than:
- Health issues that prevent her from working a full-time job
- Being unilaterally pushed out by other stakeholders
- Aldehyde-stabilization is clearly demonstrated to not work and/or not be necessary (eg because of a positive singularity)
- If Nectome ceases to exist for mundane reasons, I will consider it abandonment if she doesn't act to try and do what's best for any people they really preserved, or if she decides to change careers in the aftermath.
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 8 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 84,1 k €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 652,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,4 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 865,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- 915,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 k €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2040.
- Comment Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Nectome is a brain preservation startup, founded by Aurelia Song circa 2015.