Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.3%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
15 avr. 26, 04:10 UTC31 déc. 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, founded by Aurelia Song circa 2015.
- This market resolves YES iff, before 2041, Aurelia Song leaves the company for any reasons other than:
- Health issues that prevent her from working a full-time job
- Being unilaterally pushed out by other stakeholders
- Aldehyde-stabilization is clearly demonstrated to not work and/or not be necessary (eg because of a positive singularity)
- If Nectome ceases to exist for mundane reasons, I will consider it abandonment if she doesn't act to try and do what's best for any people they really preserved, or if she decides to change careers in the aftermath.