Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète15 janv. 24, 16:22 UTC2 janv. 35, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsHow many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission?
Manifold MarketsArtemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
To resolve YES the mission designated Artemis 3 must involve a human footstep on the moon.
- To resolve NO Artemis 3 must be canceled or rescoped to not include a moon landing.
- Landing failure resolves NO; any failure after an astronaut walks on the moon resolves YES.
- Launch vehicle, landing vehicle, and other details are irrelevant.
