Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.7%
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète13 janv. 23, 00:43 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSudan civil war ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurRègles
WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.
- List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:
- Czech Republic
- United Kingdom
- United States