Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 56%
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 58 minutes
En retard2 sept. 23, 08:54 UTC9 sept. 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a cyberattack cause ≥$30B of damage before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAssuming a misaligned AI outbreak inadvertently kill >1 million people by 2035, who will be at fault?
Manifold MarketsWhen will tuberculosis kill less than 1 million people a year?
Manifold MarketsDoes an AI disaster kill at least 10,000 people before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWorldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
An attempted AI takeover
- An AI system malfunctions
- A single disaster or related ones, not just "every AI disaster over 50 years"
- 1T adjusted to inflation
