Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?
IAOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95.5%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète12 févr. 26, 23:07 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2027, an AI agent is credited in a CVE report as having autonomously discovered a novel security vulnerability.
- Requirements:
- CVE number assigned
- AI discovered vulnerability through own analysis, not just assisted a human
- Real deployed system (not CTF or intentionally vulnerable app)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria