Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffTrade PolicyIA1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
16 févr. 26, 17:48 UTC31 oct. 26, 17:48 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?
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PolymarketWill palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia (case A-821-840, HTS 7110.21.0000) is published in the Federal Register by October 31, 2026.
- Background: This is the final step - requires BOTH:
- Commerce final affirmative AD determination
- USITC final affirmative injury determination
- Once issued, the order imposes cash deposit requirements on all imports at the determined AD rate (currently 132.83% preliminary for Russia-wide entity).
- Impact: A duty order would effectively shut down Russian palladium imports to the U.S., forcing importers to shift to South African, Canadian, or recycled sources.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia (case A-821-840, HTS 7110.21.0000) is published in the Federal Register by October 31, 2026.