Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffIAPolitique commercialeMatières premières2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète16 févr. 26, 18:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,000 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if the U.S. Department of Commerce publishes an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium imports from Russia (HTS 7110.21.0000) in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026.
- Background: On February 10, 2026, Commerce announced a preliminary antidumping determination with a 132.83% margin for the Russia-wide entity.
- For a final duty order to be issued, BOTH of the following must occur:
- Commerce final affirmative determination (expected ~April 28, 2026)
- USITC final affirmative injury determination (expected ~June-September 2026)
- ✅ Feb 10, 2026: Preliminary AD determination (132.83% rate)
