China vs US: who will be first to impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold?
ChineCustom4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleChina 64.3%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète12 juil. 26, 20:53 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US or China impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurWill Llama 4 be fully open-weight?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government introduce any domestic restrictions on open-weight LLMs by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
N/A if neither happens before 2030
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/will-the-us-or-china-impose-a-ban-o)
