Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 55%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
7 janv. 25, 16:28 UTC1 janv. 50, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Al take 25% of human jobs before 2045?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Al take 25% of human jobs?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria:
- The question will resolve to YES if at least one of the following occurs:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 25% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 25% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- In this context the LFPR should fall to 46.9% or lower.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
