Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète15 juin 24, 21:19 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Description:
- This market resolves to "Yes" if a well-known public figure (such as a politician, celebrity, or scientist) publicly claims to have had an extraterrestrial encounter, and this claim is covered and verified by major credible news outlets, by December 31, 2026.
- The market resolves to "No" if no such verified claims are made within the specified timeframe.
- Definition of Verified Encounter: For the purpose of this market, a "verified extraterrestrial encounter" means that the claim must be taken seriously and reported by multiple major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, BBC, CNN) and not immediately debunked or dismissed as a hoax.
- Well-Known Public Figure: The claim must come from an individual who is widely recognized either nationally or internationally.
- This includes:
