Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
GéopolitiqueOne-Off14a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 82.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète28 janv. 24, 03:03 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024).
- Including tests.
- Only count deaths directly related to the explosion within 10 days of the explosion.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2041.
- Comment Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024).