Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.4%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète27 juil. 23, 18:03 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiIran Conflict Props
Manifold MarketsWill the Crimean bridge be damaged in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWhat nationalities will be on the moon before 2030
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if a Nuclear Thermal Rocket (a rocket propelled using heat from a nuclear reaction) reaches space (defined as the Karman line, 100km altitude) before 2027.
- Otherwise NO.
- NASA, DARPA to launch nuclear rocket to orbit by early 2026
- https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/tdm/nuclear-thermal-propulsion/index.html
- [link preview]It is necessary for the rocket to have a propulsion system based on nuclear power.
- It is not necessary that the nuclear propulsion system works.
