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18
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète17 août 26, 17:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSerrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027?
Manifold Markets"Will Google DeepMind release a system where the AI itself (not human engineers) generates improvements to its own code
Manifold MarketsWill "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Will resolve yes any Google Deepmind model is ranked in the top 3 on the Epoch Capabilities Index.
- This will be assessed on the day that Deepmind's final model release of 2026 is added to the benchmark, including if that date is in 2027.
- Resolves no otherwise.
- A model is considered released if it is available via the API, the Gemini app, the Gemini website or any other publicly available means.
- I may trade on this market.