KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 6 nov. 2026, 22:36 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 400 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 400 78%En tête parmi 11 options
Above 400 78%Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
6,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert
9,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 400Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 47 minutes
En retard1 nov. 26, 16:05 UTC8 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 400
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 700, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc AI Chat Apps Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month AI Chat Apps Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=7892a60d-ce75-4eba-98aa-460b93a4f33b. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok, weighted 25% each. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 400
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 450
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 450, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 700
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 700, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 800
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 800, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 350
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 350, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 500
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 550
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 550, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 600
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 600, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 650
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 650, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 750
- If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 750, then the market resolves to Yes.