Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 53%
Prévisionnistes
76
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète17 janv. 24, 17:47 UTC1 mars 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic before 2028?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if at least one million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0686840a9b86
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-cada66fe0215
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-c55c48255552
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-027d2adb7b87
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 30,4 k €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 652,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 865,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,7 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- 915,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 84 k €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2030.
- Comment Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if at least one million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.