Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleUSA 56.8%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
81
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète12 août 23, 13:04 UTC1 janv. 33, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill Earth have space-based solar power at scale by 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
There are many nations and organizations that have plans about going to the Moon.
- And some of the plans are more ambitious than realistic.
- What nationality will the next human to set foot on the moon have?
- This bet will be resolved the day after the event has happened.
- Unsuccessful landings and scrabs does not count.
- The astronauts needs to survive the landing for it to count.
