Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
IA3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Fabiano Caruana 30.7%En tête parmi 19 options
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète1 déc. 24, 13:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:59 UTC
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0.5%
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0.4%
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.
- If two players pass the threshold at the same update, will resolve based on who passed the threshold in live ratings first.
- If there is still a tie, then it will resolve based on which tied player has the higher rating.
- Can resolve as someone currently rated 2800 or above in the event that they dip below 2800 in the official (non live) ratings and then passes it again in a later month.
- Resolution date will be extended as needed.
- Rating source: https://ratings.fide.com/
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Fabiano Caruana à 31% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800) doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.