Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Magnus Carlsen 95.9%En tête parmi 16 options
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 25, 21:40 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd?
Manifold MarketsPro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Offense
PolymarketPro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense
PolymarketWho will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
Manifold MarketsWill Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsFIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in December 2026
KalshiRègles
Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).
- As of January 2025, the named outcome has dominated the top spot for over a decade, though Gukesh Dommaraju has shown remarkable progress recently, becoming World Chess Champion and making significant rating gains in 2024.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official FIDE rating list published for January 2027 (which reflects ratings as of December 31, 2026)
- In case of a tie for the highest rating, all tied players will resolve equally (i.e. 50/50 if the top two are tied)
- If FIDE changes its rating calculation system before the end of 2026, the market will still resolve based on the official FIDE ratings under the new system
Marchés ouverts
ChessPOLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Romania?
- Alexandru Nazare-4.3pt25%
- Sorin Grindeanu-1.6pt20%
- Eugen Tomac-5.7pt7%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18 k €
KALSHIPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+4.0pt44.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+2.0pt24.4%
- Naftali Bennett+1.0pt6.7%
+15 résultats de plus
KALSHIFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
- Javokhir Sindarov+1.0pt66.7%
- Gukesh Dommaraju-4.0pt26.7%
- Fabiano Caruana0.9%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHITitled Tuesday Winner: Sep 8
- Liem Le99%
- Hans Niemann+73.0pt79%
- Alireza Firouzja+18.0pt19%
+66 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 13,5 k €
KALSHITitled Tuesday Top 8: Sep 8
- Jeffery Xiong+81.0pt99%
- Hikaru Nakamura+54.0pt99%
- Jan-Krzysztof Duda+72.0pt99%
+66 résultats de plus
KALSHITitled Tuesday Top 5: Sep 8
- Hikaru Nakamura+78.0pt99%
- Hans Niemann+82.0pt98%
- Dmitry Andreikin+92.0pt98%
+66 résultats de plus
- Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
- Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
- Titled Tuesday Top 3: Sep 8
- Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
- 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Women's Tournament Winner
- Titled Tuesday Top 8: September 15
- Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
- FIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in December 2026
- Titled Tuesday Top 5: September 15
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Magnus Carlsen à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).