Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Magnus Carlsen 96%En tête parmi 16 options
Magnus Carlsen 96%Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 25, 21:40 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd?
Manifold MarketsPro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Offense
PolymarketPro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense
PolymarketWill a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will the majority of top10 rated chess players in the world be born during/after 2000?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be the highest rated of Sam Mendes' four Beatles biopic films?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).
- As of January 2025, the named outcome has dominated the top spot for over a decade, though Gukesh Dommaraju has shown remarkable progress recently, becoming World Chess Champion and making significant rating gains in 2024.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official FIDE rating list published for January 2027 (which reflects ratings as of December 31, 2026)
- In case of a tie for the highest rating, all tied players will resolve equally (i.e. 50/50 if the top two are tied)
- If FIDE changes its rating calculation system before the end of 2026, the market will still resolve based on the official FIDE ratings under the new system
