KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81.3%En tête parmi 3 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
9 juil. 26, 20:30 UTC22 août 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Spain?
FutuurWill there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWill Pedro Sánchez still be Spain's Prime Minister through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? ?
- Kalshi cote Alberto Núñez Feijóo à 81% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? doit être résolu le 22 août 2028.
- Comment Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.