Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Serhiy Kuznetsov 89.6%En tête parmi 15 options
Serhiy Kuznetsov 89.6%Prévisionnistes
144
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète20 août 24, 20:30 UTC28 août 28, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketWill Nord Stream 2 open?
KalshiWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine apologize for blowing up Nord stream 2 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWas a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Nord_Stream_pipeline_sabotage
- Multiple answers will be chosen if more than one actor is involved. “Involved” means has knowledge of the event and contributed to the sabotage prior to its happening.
- Resolves when there is a clear actor beyond a reasonable doubt.