Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
CommoditiesRussia / UkraineOne-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueUS PoliticsEurope3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
9,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.9% / 8.7%
Écart
5.8 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+3.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
5 nov. 25, 19:37 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Nord Stream 2 open?
KalshiWho blew up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine apologize for blowing up Nord stream 2 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution.
- Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.