Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
(5) CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON IN THE SECOND DEGREE (possession of loaded firearm outside of home/place of business) 76%En tête parmi 11 options
(5) CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON IN THE SECOND DEGREE (possession of loaded firearm outside of home/place of business) 76%Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète18 déc. 24, 23:49 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione Pre-Trial Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsRègles
Each answer will resolve independently based on the verdict in Mangione's criminal trial:
- YES if Mangione is found guilty of that specific count, or pleas guilty to that count
- NO if Mangione is found not guilty of that specific count, or if the count is dismissed/dropped before or during trial, or if Mangione dies before a verdict is delivered for that count.
- You can read the indictment for these charges here:
- https://manhattanda.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Mangione-Indictment-FINAL-as-filed.pdf
- If Mangione is charged with additional New York crimes related to the assassination before the full resolution of this market, I will add them.
