PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%+1.4pt
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,7 k €
Liquidité
6,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.0% / 3.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréComments
7
Variation 7j
-1.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
29 janv. 26, 21:0631 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 97% au 22 août 2026.
- Quand Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.