PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 86%-0.4pt
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
188 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
4.8% / 24.2%
Écart
19.4 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+11.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
17 déc. 25, 21:20 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione Pre-Trial Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.