Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleChina 46.5%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète28 avr. 26, 06:06 UTC9 avr. 27, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I (McPqndq) reach IGM on Codeforces before the 2026 ICPC World Finals.
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the country associated with the university/team that ranks #1 in the 2026 ICPC World Finals in Dubai, U.A.E., April 4-9, 2027.
- In case of ambiguity, the country listed by https://cphof.org/ will be used.
- Unofficial team list: https://codeforces.com/blog/entry/149719
- Winners for the last five years: - 2025: Russia (St. Petersburg State University) - 2024: China (Peking University) - 2023: Russia (National Research University Higher School of Economics) - 2022: China (Peking University) - 2021: the named outcome (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)