Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleChina 45.3%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète28 avr. 26, 06:06 UTC9 avr. 27, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I (McPqndq) reach IGM on Codeforces before the 2026 ICPC World Finals.
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the country associated with the university/team that ranks #1 in the 2026 ICPC World Finals in Dubai, U.A.E., November 15-20, 2026.
- In case of ambiguity, the country listed by https://cphof.org/ will be used.
- Unofficial team list: https://codeforces.com/blog/entry/149719
- Results for the last five years: - 2025: Russia (St. Petersburg State University) - 2024: China (Peking University) - 2023: Russia (National Research University Higher School of Economics) - 2022: China (Peking University) - 2021: the named outcome (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+1.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.5pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–33937.1%
- 340–354+3.5pt25.8%
- 310–324-5.2pt21.6%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+0.5pt68.6%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.4%
- Increase+1.0pt2.9%
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which country will win the 2026 ICPC World Finals? ?
- Manifold Markets cote China à 45% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which country will win the 2026 ICPC World Finals? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which country will win the 2026 ICPC World Finals? doit être résolu le 9 avril 2027.
- Comment Which country will win the 2026 ICPC World Finals? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to the country associated with the university/team that ranks #1 in the 2026 ICPC World Finals in Dubai, U.A.E., November 15-20, 2026.