Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIran 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 35 minutes
3 mars 26, 21:34 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will the "Yap" Section of Manifold be renamed to? [ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsWhich team will win 2026 PUMaC division A? (Add answers!)
Manifold MarketsWho will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves based on trusted news sources.
- If unclear I will do my best to resolve fairly; I will not trade on this market.
- For the purposes of this market, only armed forces part of the country's government (at any level) in question count.
- For instance, Iranian proxies don't count unless the option in question includes such, but a local policeman killing a US soldier does.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 59,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 473,5 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+5.1pt68%
- October 31+5.0pt44%
- September 30+6.0pt16%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+4.0pt33%
- October 31+5.0pt22%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 295,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+0.8pt99%
- September 25+0.9pt98%
- September 23+8.3pt95%
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+3.8pt98%
- September 30+6.0pt91%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 217,5 k €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+10.5pt73%
- December+21.0pt64%
- October+23.0pt53%
+9 résultats de plus
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Iran à 100% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves based on trusted news sources.