Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 32.3%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète10 nov. 23, 20:20 UTC17 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Background information here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom%E2%80%93United_States_free_trade_agreement
- Market resolves according to the date the agreement is effective, not the date it is signed.
- I'm expecting that if the agreement ever gets signed, the above page will look a bit more like this one: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia%E2%80%93United_Kingdom_Free_Trade_Agreement, in which case I will take the date next to the "effective" field.
- If the UK and the US enter into a multilateral FTA that includes other countries, that triggers resolution.
- If the UK and US enter into a trade agreement that falls short of an FTA, that does not trigger resolution.
- Free trade agreements have a pretty universal definition so I don't anticipate any complications in resolution.
