Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2026-2027 79.2%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète9 mai 22, 15:58 UTC1 janv. 32, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028 will a language model beat the Ender Dragon?
Manifold MarketsJynxzi, Ron, and Los beat Minecraft by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
I won't accept any algorithm that is substantially tuned for Minecraft specifically.
- If the same algorithm couldn't be adapted to other environments with similar results, it doesn't count.